WORLD WAR THREE - IS LOOMING

WORLD WAR TWO WAS SUPPOSED TO BE THE WAR TO END ALL WARS, BUT LEFT A FEW LOOSE ENDS

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TOTAL WIPE OUT CAPABILITY - According to expert analysis the world has 14,555 nuclear missiles, that would undoubtedly be fired in the event of an all out thermonuclear war. In the wake of Hiroshima and Nagasaki, that quantity of strikes would be enough to destroy all life on earth, save for the oceans. Clearly, world leaders are insane. How could any rational person build up dangerous toxic weapons to this level. The madness must be infectious and that infection is bound to lead to destruction of the planet as we know it. All it takes is one itchy trigger finger.

MIDDLE EAST JANUARY 2010 - UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres has warned "a wind of madness is sweeping the globe", pointing to escalating conflicts from Libya and Yemen to Syria and beyond. At a wide-ranging news conference on Tuesday, he said: "All situations are different but there is a feeling of growing instability and hair-trigger tensions, which makes everything far more unpredictable and uncontrollable, with a heightened risk of miscalculation." 

The UN chief also expressed great frustration that legally binding UN Security Council resolutions "are being disrespected before the ink is even dry."

Guterres singled out Libya where he called the current offensives by the warring parties "a scandal" - coming soon after world powers and other key countries adopted a road map to peace in Berlin on January 19 that called for respect for a UN arms embargo, an end to foreign interference in the fighting by rival governments and steps toward a cease-fire. Libya has been in turmoil since 2011, when a civil war toppled longtime dictator Moammar Gadhafi, who was later killed.

A weak UN-recognized administration that holds the capital Tripoli and parts of the country's west is backed by Turkey and to a lesser degree Qatar and Italy. On the other side is General Khalifa Hifter, whose forces launched a surprise offensive to capture the capital last April from their base in the country's east and are backed by the United Arab Emirates and Egypt as well as France and Russia.

Guterres said the 55-point Berlin agreement has been repeatedly violated by fighting and continuing arms deliveries.
"We are seeing more and more civilians being targeted... migrants in a desperate situation and all the commitments that were made apparently were made without a true intention of respecting them," he said. 

The secretary-general also expressed "enormous concern" at the escalation of attacks in Idlib, Syria's last rebel-held province with a population of three million, and said the UN is "particularly worried" that the escalation now includes the Syrian and Turkish armies bombing each other. He again urged a cessation of hostilities "before the escalation comes to a situation that then becomes totally out of control." 

As for Yemen, Guterres said he was very encouraged recently to see Iranian-backed Houthi Shiite rebels stop attacking Saudi Arabia and the Saudis, who back the country's internationally recognised government, limiting their military actions. But unfortunately, the last few days have seen "a new escalation," he said, adding, "We are doing everything we can for this escalation to be reversed, and everything we can to create the conditions for a true political dialogue to be re-established."

In Iraq, which has faced mass anti-government protests since October 1 in which at least 500 demonstrators have been killed, the secretary-general called for the human rights of protesters to be protected. The protesters have decried rampant government corruption, poor services and lack of employment and are demanding the overthrow of the political establishment, electoral reforms and snap elections. 

Guterres said militias have sometimes been "the worst perpetrators of violations of human rights" and attacks against protesters. It's critical for the government to ensure that the army and policy regain the monopoly on the use of force to ensure the normal functioning of the state, he said.

Is the United Nations weak enough to allow any combination of warring factions to ignite a conflict bigger than World War One and/or World War Two? We believe the answer to that is a resounding YES!

Vladimir Putin is living proof of that, having threatened use of nuclear weapons against the Ukraine, and anyone else opposing his Russia.

Some say that World War Three is inevitable. If that is so, why not get on with it, so that the world can put right what was left undone after WWIII. Are we ready for that and prepared for the consequences.

For sure the Middle East would be wiped out entirely, leaving China, Russia and the Unites States to battle for supremacy of democratic or communist ideals.

With food insecurity looming large as a result of the IPCC's Code Red, as it will affect agriculture from desertification, and toxic fish, becoming less attractive as a protein source to the expanding middle class, WW3 may start to look like at attractive proposition to world leaders, looking for a way out. The risk being that all they have built up during peacetime could be destroyed.

Let us assume that Russia and the US would take out China and that both remaining countries would be seriously devastated. Global warming would be a thing of the past with so many dead, so that might be a good thing in the long haul for other species on earth.

That would leave Russia and the US in a fight to the death, where US technical supremacy is odds on to wipe out Russia - so long as the US is not stupid enough to invade. It would be sure to be an arms-length annihilation fought by drones with satellites playing an important part. Hence, Star Wars comes into play, each side destroying the others satellites to blind them and destroy communications.

Knowing this, the recent moves by Donald Trump make sense. He is a businessman first, with one eye on complete commercial domination of the world. That could be why he decided to run for President!

Why then are we bothering to campaign for common sense in tacking climate change?

CODES RED - BLUE - The scales of war are equally applicable to the heating of the planet in terms of changing our climate. Although there has been a lot of speak about changing our ways, local authorities have carried on business as usual. That multiplied by all the Member Nations thinking the same, has taken us to the brink.

Nuclear subs are powered by a nuclear reactor which is modified for use in a confined, underwater environment. These nuclear reactors produce heat, which in turn produces steam ,which works on the steam turbines and turns a shaft. This shaft is connected to the propeller as well as a generator which recharges the battery for on board use. This nuclear reactor gives them an unlimited range, and the ability to stay under water for months without surfacing. On-board oxygen generating systems and a large supply of food and water gives them a realistic 90 days of continuous underwater time before they need to be re-supplied.

Nuclear subs are a nightmare for ASW assets, because they can dive to depths of over 600 m and travel at a speed of 30-35 knots submerged. This gives them a huge advantage over diesels. I’ll give you a simple analogy with cars to compare the two kinds of subs. The Diesel-Electric subs are like a Hatchback, many can afford it , easy to operate, low costs and less powerful on the road. The Nuclear sub is like a Hummer, very few can afford , high cost , extremely powerful and can make a statement with just it’s appearance . That’s why only 6 countries in the world operate nuclear subs and almost 50 countries operate diesel subs.

DAILY EXPRESS 5 FEB 2020 - Why Donald Trump risks ‘all-out nuclear war’ with huge Russia challenge

WORLD WAR 3 fears have been worsened by the ongoing tensions between the US and Russia. As both Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin seek dominance on the world stage, Washington is risking an "all-out conflict" with its recent deployment of nuclear missile armed submarines, according to one expert.

The chilling warning was made by Bruce Blair, co-founder of a nuclear arms reduction group called Global Zero, who also warned the weapons will stoke the “flames of conflict”. He said: “We must not delude ourselves into thinking lower-yield nukes are more usable in a conflict. “Any use of this sea-based weapon – either first or second – will risk stoking the flames of conflict and escalating to all-out nuclear war.” The weapon he refers to is the controversial submarine-launched low-yield nuclear warhead, which the Pentagon confirmed on Tuesday had been deployed in an effort to deter Russia.

John Rood, the under secretary of Defense for policy, said in a statement: “The US Navy has fielded the W76-2 low-yield submarine-launched ballistic missile (SLBM) warhead.

“This supplemental capability strengthens deterrence and provides the United States a prompt, more survivable low-yield strategic weapon; supports our commitment to extended deterrence; and demonstrates to potential adversaries that there is no advantage to limited nuclear employment because the United States can credibly and decisively respond to any threat scenario.” Mr Rood said the move was in response to Moscow’s growing military challenge.

He added: “In the 2018 Nuclear Posture Review, the department identified the requirement to ‘modify a small number of submarine-launched ballistic missile warheads’ to address the conclusion that potential adversaries, like Russia, believe that employment of low-yield nuclear weapons will give them an advantage over the United States and its allies and partners.”

While the White House looks to maintain a tough military posture, critics in the US have hit out at the Trump administration for creating yet another potential route to nuclear conflict.

This argument in Congress was led by Washington Democrat, Adam Smith, who claimed the weapons “do nothing to make Americans safer”.

He also said the deployment was “misguided and dangerous”.

Representative Smith, who is also Chairman of the House Armed Services Committee added: “This destabilising deployment further increases the potential for miscalculation during a crisis.

“Validating the utility of so-called ‘low yield’ nuclear weapons in ‘winning’ a nuclear war adds to the growing pressures of a nuclear arms race.”

The House version of the 2020 defense bill prohibited deployment of the modified warhead, but that was dropped in the final version passed by Congress and signed by Trump in December.

President Trump is also risking further tensions due to his reluctance to renew a major weapons treaty, a decision that could escalate the Washington-Moscow arms race to levels not seen since the Cold War.

On February 5 next year, the New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty will expire after 10 years of implementation.

Also referred to as the New START, it is a nuclear arms reduction treaty between the US and the Russian Federation.

The treaty dictates that the US and Russia reduce their number of nuclear missile numbers in half, limit the amount of intercontinental ballistic missiles launchers and submarines, as well as setting rules on monitoring.

Both President Trump and Russian President Putin want to renew the deal, but the White House chief’s ambitions for an even better agreement risk derailing talks entirely.

The White House is seeking a deal that covers not only strategic nuclear weapons but also smaller, low-yield “tactical” nuclear weapons. More ambitiously, President Trump wants to bring China into a new treaty and establish limits on its nuclear arsenal, something that is difficult to achieve given Beijing’s far inferior arsenal.

SSN - The SSN is the unseen king of the oceans. It is a high-speed nuclear submarine designed to attack other ships, submarines and land targets using a mix of cruise missiles and torpedoes.

These hunter-killers usually form a part of a Carrier Battle group or operate alone. Their large endurance, range and speed help in attacking other subs and surface ships. Countries like USA, Russia , China , UK, France manufacture their own nuclear attack subs. The presence of these subs is so powerful that during the Falklands war the Argentines withdrew their entire navy from combat after their ship General Belgrano was sunk by a British Nuclear sub.

SSBN - The SSBN is the mythical underwater monster which always stays at a great depth and almost never seen to anyone. Because it’s mission is to stay hidden and fire nuclear tipped ballistic missiles in case of a nuclear war. If an SSBN ever has to fire its missiles in actual combat, it would mean World War 3.

The same countries which operate SSNs also operate SSBNs. These are extremely large subs when compared to attack subs. The smallest SSBN is almost the size of the largest SSN. Russia built the Typhoon class, which is the largest submarine in the world as at January 2020.

DAILY EXPRESS - MIDDLE EAST JAN 14 2020

World War 3: Is World War 3 happening? Has WW3 been declared?

WORLD WAR 3 fears were triggered once again yesterday after US President Donald Trump approved a US-led drone strike in Iraq which killed Iran’s top general Qasem Soleimani. Has World War 3 been declared?

World War 3 fears ignited yesterday after a US-led airstrike killed Iran’s most decorated military leader Qassem Soleimani. The strike, which took place in Baghdad as the general left the capital city’s airport in an escort, has prompted a severe reaction from Iran’s leadership, who promised swift revenge against US aggressors.

January 8 update: Iran retaliates with multiple missile strikes 

Iran has realised its threats of retaliation against the US by firing 22 missiles at two military bases shared by the country and coalition personnel. The attack, which the Iranian Revolutionary Guard has since taken responsibility for, is not thought to have killed anyone. 

Officials continue to search the affected buildings, and Donald Trump seemed unperturbed by the attack. 
Taking to Twitter yesterday he said: "All is well! Missiles launched from Iran at two military bases located in Iraq. "Assessment of casualties & damages taking place now. "So far, so good! We have the most powerful and well-equipped military anywhere in the world, by far!

Is World War 3 happening?

In the wake of the US drone strike, World War 3 is trending on Twitter, with millions worried the assassination could spark a chain of events ending in full-scale combat. General Soleimani’s death was as a decisive blow for Iran, which lost both its top military strategist and one of its most influential political figures. The general led the Quds unit of the Iranian revolutionary guard, a shadowy military intelligence outfit responsible for extending Iran’s influence aboard.

Back home in Iran, he was considered second only to the country’s Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, and people saw him as a viable candidate to become the next Iranian President. Iran has reacted with severity to the loss of the treasured military leader, promising swift revenge on the US. The country’s President, Hassan Rouhani, vowed Iran would continue to resist “American expansionism” and “take revenge” on the dead general’s behalf. The Pentagon branded the attack “self-defence”, claiming General Soleimani was plotting an attack on American soil.

According to analysts, the drone strike all but forces Iran to retaliate, but revenge will likely come on a smaller scale. Counter-attacks will likely aim to damage the US via its presence in the Middle East and discourage any future insurrections against Iran. However, they will likely fall short of all-out war, adding another notch to the tit-for-tat exchange ongoing between the country over the past four years.
American goals are equally opaque, with statements suggesting US attacks are wholly preventative, but senior officials hinting at more comprehensive objectives against the country in the Middle East.

A future clash between Iran and the US threatens to draw in other world powers, and allies of both countries have already weighed in following Soleimani’s assassination. Russia, a strategic ally of Iran, condemned yesterday’s strike amid Tehran’s pledge for revenge. Sergei Lavrov, Russian Foreign Minister, told US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo the strike was an “illegal power” move. However, Russia stopped short of pledging military backing to a future Iranian retaliation, as Mr Lavrov called for dialogue between the feuding countries.

Donald Trump insisted the airstrike would “stop” another war. Speaking yesterday, the President said: “What the United States did yesterday should have been done long ago. A lot of lives would have been saved. “Just recently, Soleimani led the brutal repression of protesters in Iran, where more than 1,000 innocent civilians were tortured and killed by their own government. “We took action last night to stop a war. We did not take action to start a war.”

Donald Trump has since confirmed the US is ready to retaliate against any Iranian attack, stating in a Twitter post there were “52 sites” the US may target in future. He added the sites would be hit “very fast and very hard”. He wrote: “Iran is talking very boldly about targeting certain USA assets as revenge for our ridding the world of their terrorist leader who had just killed an American, badly wounded many others, not to mention all of the people he had killed over his lifetime including recently hundreds of Iranian protestors. “He was already attacking our Embassy, and preparing for additional hits in other locations. “Iran has been nothing but problems for many years.

“Let this serve as a WARNING that if Iran strikes any Americans, or American assets, we have targeted 52 Iranian sites (representing the 52 American hostages taken by Iran many years ago), some at a very high level & important to Iran & the Iranian culture, and those targets, and Iran itself, WILL BE HIT VERY FAST AND VERY HARD.”

JAPAN VISIT 2020 - U.N. Secretary-General Antonio Guterres said he will visit Hiroshima in August for the 75th anniversary of the U.S. atomic bombing of the city. The visit will be “a way to demonstrate, not only my solidarity with Hiroshima, but my strong commitment to nuclear disarmament and nonproliferation,” Guterres said at a news conference at the U.N. headquarters in New York.

In 2010, then-U.N. Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon attended the Aug. 6 peace memorial ceremony in Hiroshima, becoming the first U.N. chief to do so. In 2018, Guterres became the first U.N. chief to attend the memorial event in the city of Nagasaki, where an atomic bombing took place three days after the attack on Hiroshima.

When he met with Hidehiko Yuzaki, governor of Hiroshima Prefecture, in New York last April, Guterres indicated his wish to visit Hiroshima in 2020. Hiroshima and Nagasaki were devastated by the U.S. atomic bombings in August 1945 in the closing days of World War II.

LINKS & REFERENCE

https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/1223901/World-War-3-is-world-war-three-happening-WW3-declared-Donald-Trump-Iran

https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2020/02/05/national/u-n-chief-antonio-guterres-visit-hiroshima-august/#.XjuYtm52tPY

https://www.dw.com/en/uns-antonio-guterres-warns-of-global-wind-of-madness/a-52258627

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